* empirical house effect about 2 points to Republicans;

Interesting that you want to downplay these results.......I am surprised that with all the polling data you repeatedly posted.....not you choose to ignore this one.

There have been several studies on polling bias vs ultimate outcome of presidential election and as I recall, the bias is usually in favor of Democrats.

So you charge of a "house effect" is indeed surprising since you don't complain about the majority of polls having a Democratic bias??

But perhaps you missed the more important issue in that Rasmussen had Obama up before........ie it is the trend in Romney's favor in this first fully post debate poll. This trend will likely be similar in other polls......though the absolute percentages may differ.

Just curious......what exactly is Obama's plan for jobs in the next 4 years since his last are WAY below any prior recession (maybe even the depression?)?