Message Font: Serif | Sans-Serif
 
No. of Recommendations: 0
1. Although a world-wide death toll of 350 million is possible, that is at the outer limits of influenza mortality. It was a worst-case scenario. The most-likely case scenario is much less, even assuming that a human form of the virus will have the same lethality as the existing bird form.

I was under the impression that the existing bird flu has mortality upwards of 50%, and that with extensive care (which would not be available if there are millions of cases in the US).


In reality, we expect that even an extremely lethal human form of avian influenza will behave much like past epidemics. It will move slowly from region to region, giving most of the world many months to prepare.


SARS cases cropped up all around the globe, and that was far less transmissible then flu.

Print the post  

Announcements

What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
When Life Gives You Lemons
We all have had hardships and made poor decisions. The important thing is how we respond and grow. Read the story of a Fool who started from nothing, and looks to gain everything.
Community Home
Speak Your Mind, Start Your Blog, Rate Your Stocks

Community Team Fools - who are those TMF's?
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and Glassdoor #1 Company to Work For 2015! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.
Advertisement