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Recommendations: 0
Notes on Eclipsys Q4 2001 Conference Call
Revenue - $60.7M for the Quarter; Up 12.2% over Q4 2000 - $237M for 2001; up 9.4% over 2000
Earnings - Actual - $.05 for Q4, $.10 for 2001 - pro forma - $.10 for Q4, $.42 for 2001 - EBITDA - $.21 for Q4, $.80 for 2001
Margins - 52% Gross - 15% EBITDA
Bookings - $113M for Q4, exceeding guidance of $95M - $105M. - $358M for 2001; Up 15% YOY; 188% QOQ
Other Metrics - Strong Operating Cash Flow - $7.8M in Q4, $27.9M, or $.60 / share YTD. - Third consecutive quarter of positive GAAP earnings - 98 days DSO - $169M cash; no long-term debt
Guidance - Q1 bookings - $90M - $100M (13% - 20% decrease) - 2002 bookings - $410M – $440M (15% - 23% increase) - Q1 earnings .10 - .12 (100% - 140% increase) - 2002 diluted earnings $.52- $.56 ( vs. $.09 in 2001) - 2002 reported (GAAP) earnings $.72 - $.76 (85% - 95% increase) - Q1 revenue – $60M - $63M (essentially flat over 2001 Q4) - 2002 revenue - $269M - $277M (14% - 17% increase) - Operating Cash Flow - $30M - $35M (8% - 25% increase)
Outlook - Enough unused credits to project no tax for next 10 – 12 quarters. - Estimate 3 - 4 year lead over all competition in moving to Intel 64 bit and Microsoft “.NET” solutions. - New “Xa” internet-based XML architecture features infinite scalability, rapid delivery. Includes installation services & the applications themselves. - Move to Xa will be 100% complete by mid-2003. - All Sunrise customers will receive Xa as an upgrade. “We can now sell smaller slices of our products”. -Sunrise Xa implementation cycle headed for 7 months. -New product announcements from Siemens & McKesson should be very positive for Eclipsys. Will force their customers to wake up and look around -No new acquisitions foreseen
Market - Strongest since the Balanced Budget Act was passed in '96. - Clinical Systems growth is expected to be the strongest of all. - Many hospitals selecting Eclipsys as their core technology. - Latest sales replace Cerner, IDX, McKesson & Siemens. - Industry realizing that back-office systems can't address patient safety and cost issues.
Eclipsys Position in the Market - Sunrise Clinical Manager (SCM) rated #1 by 1. Leapfrog Report (concerned with patient safety & medical errors) - More installed sites than all of the competition combined - Highest marks in all nine categories. Way ahead of #2 2. KLAS Report (Customer Satisfaction) - SCM rated #1, but room for improvement - 50% of executive compensation & 50% 401k contribution is now tied to customer satisfaction 3. Five Rights Report
Eclipsys has only 60% market recognition - 25 new salesmen hired last quarter, including veterans of the major competition. Currently undergoing boot-camp style training program. - Anticipate hiring 35 - 40 more salesmen in 2002 - SCM Customer base includes 35 IDN's, ranging from 108 to 5813 beds
Notes - Deferral of Q3 bookings due to 9/11 tragedy probably responsible for stronger Q4 number. Lower guidance for Q1 2002 would seem to bear this out. - Income from Operations positive for Q4 but still negative for the year. - While not mentioned in the call, there was recent (11/01) insider buying of 3,715,187 shares by directors and investment partnerships.
Comparison with past (Q2 2001) guidance - Actual Q4 earnings of $.10, vs. projection of $.17 - $.19. - Actual bookings of $358M vs. projection of $400M - $425M. - EBITDA up only slightly since projection of “18% - 22% range within 12 – 24 months” made in the Q2 2001 call. - Dilution from previous acquisitions not yet fully accounted for.
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