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The 10 Most Recent Messages By bufftrainer

Take me back to where I was.
  • Date: 10/24/14 7:21 AM
  • Number: 1967265
  • Recommendations: 0
Anyone know if she's related to Michelle Nunn? ??
  • Date: 10/24/14 6:51 AM
  • Number: 1967264
  • Recommendations: 4
She's held a small lead in 3 consecutive polls in what Nate Silver describes as possibly the pivotal Senate race. Her chances are enhanced by Democratic registration of more than 100,000 new voters.
  • Date: 10/23/14 1:24 AM
  • Number: 1967148
  • Recommendations: 0
Your gullibility is astonishing

Not all righty stupidity is really what it seems.

(Continued...)
  • Date: 10/22/14 11:50 PM
  • Number: 1967143
  • Recommendations: 0
Is there any evidence Wilson was juicing? That crap can produce full blown psychosis, but in the absence of evidence it's just another "orbital fracture" story.
  • Date: 10/22/14 11:36 PM
  • Number: 1967142
  • Recommendations: 0

I look at Scott Walker and I see a guy impersonating Keanu Reeves the morning after a night of fraternity hazing. She sees someone she deeply respects and wants to be the leader of the state she lives in.


After the national GOP
(Continued...)
  • Date: 10/22/14 12:13 AM
  • Number: 1966893
  • Recommendations: 0
  • Date: 10/22/14 12:04 AM
  • Number: 1966890
  • Recommendations: 0
That ad wites itself. We now have the first outstanding "legitimate rape witchcraft" moment of the campaign. Stay tuned.
  • Date: 10/20/14 9:57 PM
  • Number: 1966765
  • Recommendations: 0
In addition to the closer predictions there's an expectation of greater error.

We asked pollsters if they expected more or less error in Senate election polls the difference between what the latest pre-election polls show and actual
(Continued...)
  • Date: 10/20/14 9:50 PM
  • Number: 1966762
  • Recommendations: 0
73% right before Obama's re-election.

FALSE

90.0% the day before the election.
(Continued...)
  • Date: 10/20/14 9:45 PM
  • Number: 1966761
  • Recommendations: 1
I will point out that a 63% chance is not greatly different from a coin toss.


It's closer to 2 out of 3 than a coin toss but the comparison to 2012, when probability of an Obama victory was calculated well into the .9+ range is
(Continued...)
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Take me back to where I was.
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