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URL:  http://boards.fool.com/hi-i-am-wondering-what-mathematical-formula-is-16886538.aspx

Subject:  Re: Formula to Calculate Growth Date:  3/13/2002  12:16 AM
Author:  UhuruPeak Number:  33984 of 76397

Hi,
I am wondering what mathematical formula is used to calculate growth of an investment if you have the percent return (or the doubling time of the investment). I could do it if there was a one time addition but what if you add a set amount each year (as in IRA contributions)?
Thanks,
Carson


I'm not sure which formula you are after? The amount you'll have in 10 years if your initial capital coumpounds at a 10% rate (A)? or the Rate of Return on your investment (B)?

For (A), you want to do the following calculation:
Final_value = Initial_value * (1+ Rate of Return)^Nb_years
(in Excel speak, FV = IV * POWER((1+RR), Nb_yrs)

For (B), you can use the following formula:
IRR(Value, Guess)
Here is the help Excel provides:

IRR(values,guess)

Values is an array or a reference to cells that contain numbers for which you want to calculate the internal rate of return.

Values must contain at least one positive value and one negative value to calculate the internal rate of return.


IRR uses the order of values to interpret the order of cash flows. Be sure to enter your payment and income values in the sequence you want.


If an array or reference argument contains text, logical values, or empty cells, those values are ignored.
Guess is a number that you guess is close to the result of IRR.

Microsoft Excel uses an iterative technique for calculating IRR. Starting with guess, IRR cycles through the calculation until the result is accurate within 0.00001 percent. If IRR can't find a result that works after 20 tries, the #NUM! error value is returned.


In most cases you do not need to provide guess for the IRR calculation. If guess is omitted, it is assumed to be 0.1 (10 percent).


If IRR gives the #NUM! error value, or if the result is not close to what you expected, try again with a different value for guess.

Examples

Suppose you want to start a restaurant business. You estimate it will cost $70,000 to start the business and expect to net the following income in the first five years: $12,000, $15,000, $18,000, $21,000, and $26,000. B1:B6 contain the following values: $-70,000, $12,000, $15,000, $18,000, $21,000 and $26,000, respectively.

To calculate the investment's internal rate of return after four years:

IRR(B1:B5) equals -2.12 percent

To calculate the internal rate of return after five years:

IRR(B1:B6) equals 8.66 percent

To calculate the internal rate of return after two years, you need to include a guess:

IRR(B1:B3,-10%) equals -44.35 percent



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UhuruPeak
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