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Subject:  Re: Stock prices in the next decade Date:  3/7/2003  7:01 PM
Author:  RV2000 Number:  35845 of 75824

For example, if you're thinking of buying two hot dog stands...each costs $100,000. One generates $5,000 in annual income (PE=20) and one generates $33,000 (PE=3). All things equal, you can make a good guess as to which of these will be worth more in the future.

>>There was one in the '90s that claimed the stock market would collapse when all the boomers decided to cash in their stocks and retire.

Here's where I start getting confused.....It's with the situation where someone buys the hot dog stand with the PE=3, then:

* Reduces labor cost using "sweat equity" rather than employing others.
* Eliminates waste with "just in time" delivery.
* Reduces operating costs by replacing high-end kosher dogs with smoked generic, eliminates the sun dried tomatos, shops the day old bread store, etc.
* Relocates and targets business based on a strategic market study.
* Increase in market share both drives up their profitability and reduces the competitor's (the guy with the PE=20 cart)

At the end of the day, when they've brought the PE to a more respectable 18, and dropped their competitor's to 17 in the course of doing so, both put their carts on the market.

Lo and behold, they both find there's a glut of Hot Dog stands for sale because everyone is retiring and Hot Dog carts go for $87.5k!

Just thinking out loud here......

Rick




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