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URL:  http://boards.fool.com/quotthank-you-for-your-insightfull-post-you-hit-20684877.aspx

Subject:  Re: TMF Reviews Mauldin Date:  4/25/2004  4:34 PM
Author:  Lokicious Number:  10022 of 35397

"Thank you for your insightfull post; you hit the nail right on the head. As you note, coincidence is a good starting point when looking for explanation, but coincidence in itself does not imply causality. And leaping to make that link for explanation is a fallacy often perpetrated by those who twidle statistics. It's the boon and bane of the social sciences."

I am apparently the first to bother recommending db's post, which makes the point far more succinctly and precisely than my own (what else is new).

Statistics can, indeed, be a bane to social science. However, it is much more of a bane in the hands of politicians or those trying to sell some financial "certainty" or themselves.

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