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Subject:  Re: CAPS is not meant to be a mirror of performa Date:  2/9/2007  3:05 AM
Author:  TMFKopp Number:  4855 of 9805

For the purpose of finding players that are picking those home run stocks you can always just sort by score to come up with those that have racked up a huge score. Also, there's a new addition in the top ten tab that lets you find the players with the highest average score.

As for tying score to how correct the timing of prediction is - that's more soothsaying than it is being a good stock picker. If you buy a stock that you think is way undervalued and the market comes to that same conclusion shortly after you buy, all the better.

Though you can probably find a time frame where every stock on the Dow outperforms the S&P and underperforms the S&P, in CAPS you have to pick that right time frame. CAT may outperform the S&P by 5% from March to August, but if you pick it now and it underperforms by 11% from now to March you've still got a losing pick in August.

If someone can very consistently pick stocks that are going to outperform the S&P by 5% or more it's time to start a hedge fund. Go long the individual stocks and short the S&P and pocket that 5%.
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