The Motley Fool Discussion Boards

Previous Page

CAPS / Lessons from CAPS

URL:  http://boards.fool.com/richard-thanks-for-the-link-to-the-harvard-study-28544467.aspx

Subject:  Re: Lucky or skillful? Date:  5/30/2010  11:45 AM
Author:  dillbeans Number:  167 of 182

Richard,
Thanks for the link to the Harvard study. It was very interesting and also had some good citations to follow up on. The article itself focused more on the success of the CAPS system than on individual investors but some of the citations look at individual investors.

One thing I found interesting was the assumption that an individual's superior performance was driven by superior information. I'm not sure how true that is--I suspect judgment and temperament may play a larger role, especially when dealing with real dollars instead of just predicted performance.

I was heartened to see that CAPS performed well in a bear market as well as in a bull market. To me that suggests it's capturing something more than just volatility.

Fool on!
Dan (dillbeans)
Copyright 1996-2014 trademark and the "Fool" logo is a trademark of The Motley Fool, Inc. Contact Us