The Motley Fool Discussion Boards

Previous Page

Sports / 77's Foolish House of Pigskin

URL:  http://boards.fool.com/its-not-the-best-but-its-good-enough-but-i-29734312.aspx

Subject:  Re: Can the Packers get to the SB? Date:  12/19/2011  4:06 PM
Author:  RodimusPrime Number:  90159 of 95729

It's not the best, but it's good enough. But I just don't think it really matters. The only thing that can really hurt the Packers is an injury to Aaron Rogers. That offense averages 35 points a game. And while the defense isn't great, it's not going to give up the money points. Green Bay opponents average 21 points a game.

That's a point differential that pretty hard for any team to overcome.


Differential is relative. If you compare the differential to the points scored, both teams are winning with a comparable differential.

GB:  34.3 PF/G - 21.2 PA/G = 13.1 margin/G (38% of PF/G)
SF: 23.6 PF/G - 14.0 PA/G = 9.6 margin/G (40% of PF/G)

In other words... a 7-point deficit in a low-scoring game is much "harder to overcome" than a 7-point deficit in a high-scoring game. Margin of victory numbers are relative, not absolute.

--Rod
Copyright 1996-2014 trademark and the "Fool" logo is a trademark of The Motley Fool, Inc. Contact Us