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|Subject: Re: The Particulars of Polls||Date: 10/4/2012 12:09 AM|
|Author: andrew61||Number: 646864 of 709480|
it's getting much harder for pollsters to get people to respond to interviews. The Pew Research Center reports that it's getting only 9 percent of the people it contacts to respond to its questions. That's compared to 36 percent in 1997.
Are those 9 percent representative of the larger population? As that percentage declines, it seems increasingly possible that the sample is unrepresentative of the much larger voting public. One thing a poll can't tell us is the opinion of people who refuse to be polled.
Then there is the problem of cellphone-only households.
Then there is the other problem of people like me, who never answer their phones.
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