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Subject:  Re: We need another debate. Date:  10/10/2012  6:10 AM
Author:  MadCapitalist Number:  647992 of 865100

Bids on a major earthquake happening before the end of the year cannot actually affect the likelihood of that event. I'll look at InTrade as possibly having predictive value on that... but not on the election.

I hope you are right. Unfortunately, your case is more conjecture than anything.
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