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|Subject: Re: Gallup Poll results||Date: 10/21/2012 10:22 PM|
|Author: intercst||Number: 45893 of 59682|
Thanks for that post and that website. I love Nate Silver but am always glad to see another sensible pollster. Did you notice that http://votamatic.org/ actually has Obama winning by a much bigger margin in the electoral college over Nate Silver's prediction? Interesting. And he shows only 2 true swing states right now, North Carolina and Florida. Even if you give those to Romney, Obama wins by quite a bit.
votamatic hasn't been undated in two weeks. It likely doesn't include the affect of the first debate when Obama got smoked. It actually matches up pretty closely to Nate Silver's pre-debates high water mark for Obama.
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