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URL:  http://boards.fool.com/the-problem-with-this-analysis-b-is-that-it-is-a-30422259.aspx

Subject:  Re: Opportunity costs Date:  12/9/2012  2:53 PM
Author:  tamhas Number:  65537 of 70698

The problem with this analysis, B, is that it is a retrospective pick of the exit point. For someone to have perfectly picked that point they would have to have a time machine. This isn't to say that one couldn't have booked *some* profit, but the contrast with holding would be far less dramatic. And, it would also mean holding a smaller amount of stock when and if they go back up again. The flip side is that dips are buying opportunities.

One of the reasons for being leery of spending a lot of time in cash is that it is a sure loser position. Inflation *will* take away purchasing power, even if the absolute capital is preserved.
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