The Motley Fool Discussion Boards
Investment Analysis Clubs / Macro Economic Trends and Risks
|Subject: Re: The “second rent”||Date: 3/24/2013 10:43 AM|
|Author: warrl||Number: 418736 of 439806|
As CO2 emitted continues to influence our climate and the problems become more "soon, salient and certain"
Global temperature has for decades bobbled around mostly inside the 75% confidence band of the currently popular-with-warmists model, being at the bottom of it in 2005.
However, this model was RELEASED in 2005. Therefore nothing up to 2005 is a prediction, and it is not useful for evaluating the accuracy of the model.
As I said, in 2005 the global temperature was at the bottom of the 75% confidence band. The model has not done that well in any year since, and global temperature is now at the bottom of the 95% confidence band.
In any other science this would be described as "the model appears to be failing".
|Copyright 1996-2013 trademark and the "Fool" logo is a trademark of The Motley Fool, Inc. Contact Us|