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Subject:  Re: The “second rent” Date:  3/24/2013  10:43 AM
Author:  warrl Number:  418736 of 535240

As CO2 emitted continues to influence our climate and the problems become more "soon, salient and certain"

Global temperature has for decades bobbled around mostly inside the 75% confidence band of the currently popular-with-warmists model, being at the bottom of it in 2005.

However, this model was RELEASED in 2005. Therefore nothing up to 2005 is a prediction, and it is not useful for evaluating the accuracy of the model.

As I said, in 2005 the global temperature was at the bottom of the 75% confidence band. The model has not done that well in any year since, and global temperature is now at the bottom of the 95% confidence band.

In any other science this would be described as "the model appears to be failing".
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