No. of Recommendations: 11
Gaza conflict: Israel vows to intensify offensive

I suspect that there are some in Israel who believe that this is 2009 all over again. It is not.

The technology of insurgency has changed.

The desperation of the Palestinians is greater.

The border between Egypt is and the Palestine territory is controlled by the Muslim Brotherhood, of which Hamas is an offshoot.

I could be wrong, but Hamas may be baiting Israel into an all out campaign against the Palestinians. If so the outcome will be one of two things, neither the status quo.

An opinion piece in Aljazeera

In the long-term, this set of circumstances can ultimately only lead to one of two things - the creation of a formalised system of unequal separation where Palestinians live in isolated cantonments without basic rights and freedoms or the creation of a bi-national state with equal rights for all citizens regardless of religion and ethnicity.

Supporters of Israel today characterise, with some degree of justice, the label of "Apartheid" as being hyperbolic and inaccurate. However, if Palestinians are given neither equal rights within Israel nor a viable state of their own, this label will become undeniably accurate - and the latter outcome appears to have become an impossibility given changing political mores within the country.

This will not be a pleasant thing to watch, further many sacred cows will be gored in the process. Like any change, it is fraught with opportunity and risk.

In the next few months one of two things will happen:

1. The Israeli army will be suckered into a brutal counter insurgency that learned its lessons from the Iraq war, or

2. It will crush the Palestinian people like the plains Indians were crushed by the U.S. Military.

In the former case, there will be political upheaval in Israel.

In the latter, Israel and its allies will come to a conclusion similar to what England came to in India. However, Israel cannot pull out and go home, they will have to assimilate the Palestinians.

In either case, life will be lost, and life will be different for the survivors.

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