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Author: Zeelotes Big red star, 1000 posts Top Favorite Fools Feste Award Nominee! Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 252590  
Subject: Re: Timing and BRK.A Date: 12/31/2012 12:12 PM
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Another option is to use the 3 Bear Catchers combined. When all three are bearish sell and go to cash. The first date when all three are again bullish return to holding BRKa.

It has gone to cash three times since 1/1/2000.

Begin:           10/14/1976                                                                                                     
End: 12/26/2012

System ROI CAGR GSD Sharpe Ulcer Index DDD3 BBW % Win % of Time Yrs >= Index Yrs >= 0 Drawdown
Sell in May 296236.84% 24.71% 22.85 0.89 8.53% 4.28% 5.89 88% 70.55% 72.97% 86.49% -37.33%
Nasdaq NH-NL 204720.10% 23.45% 18.19 1.00 11.69% 5.59% 4.49 64% 63.95% 78.38% 91.89% -51.97%
3 Bear Catchers 203307.22% 23.42% 23.81 0.82 12.21% 5.96% 4.13 100% 78.31% 78.38% 89.19% -48.95%
LTBH 196469.34% 23.31% 28.36 0.72 14.28% 7.67% 3.21 100% 100.00% 81.08% 83.78% -51.47%
Superior Six 11232.62% 13.96% 16.7 0.48 10.26% 6.06% 2.48 54% 35.20% 67.57% 81.08% -39.08%

Begin: 1/1/2000
End: 12/26/2012

System ROI CAGR GSD Sharpe Ulcer Index DDD3 BBW % Win % of Time Yrs >= Index Yrs >= 0 Drawdown
Sell in May 259.54% 10.36% 17.13 0.56 6.21% 2.22% 4.6 86% 69.23% 84.62% -26.90%
3 Bear Catchers 230.14% 9.64% 18.04 0.51 8.17% 3.61% 2.77 100% 76.92% 84.62% -26.90%
Superior Six 211.63% 9.15% 15.89 0.46 6.98% 3.62% 2.63 56% 61.54% 92.31% -28.22%
Nasdaq NH-NL 153.20% 7.42% 15.38 0.42 7.37% 3.01% 2.54 56% 76.92% 84.62% -26.90%
LTBH 145.71% 7.17% 28.24 0.28 16.47% 8.07% 0.94 76.92% 76.92% -51.47%
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