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Arizona may be ripe for the picking once we become "minority majority". Apparently non-Hispanic whites are only 45% in Texas, so they're already "minority majority". How many Hispanics voted? Did they really vote for the guy(s) that wanted them to all "go home"? I doubt it. I suspect most didn't vote. So it seems to me that what is projected to happen in AZ has already happened in TX, and the Dems just need to get all those Hispanics (and Blacks and Asians) registered and get them to the polls, and they win. Probably same in AZ, actually.

They didn't do exit polling in Texas this time around, so we don't have figures. But bear in mind that while Texas might be more latino than Arizona, it is also more Republican than Arizona (Texas went for Romney by six points more than Arizona). There might be a larger population of potential registrants in the latino community, but you also have more ground to make up - and those latino voters are slightly more likely to trend GOP than nationally (McCain overperformed among Texas latinos by about four points).

There was exit polling in Arizona this year, BTW - latinos comprised about 18% of the electorate, and went to Obama 74/21. That compares to about 30% of the population.

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