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Author: warrl Big funky green star, 20000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 455849  
Subject: Re: The “second rent” Date: 3/24/2013 10:43 AM
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As CO2 emitted continues to influence our climate and the problems become more "soon, salient and certain"

Global temperature has for decades bobbled around mostly inside the 75% confidence band of the currently popular-with-warmists model, being at the bottom of it in 2005.

However, this model was RELEASED in 2005. Therefore nothing up to 2005 is a prediction, and it is not useful for evaluating the accuracy of the model.

As I said, in 2005 the global temperature was at the bottom of the 75% confidence band. The model has not done that well in any year since, and global temperature is now at the bottom of the 95% confidence band.

In any other science this would be described as "the model appears to be failing".
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