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As I said, intrade is non-partisan. They just let you bet (in essence) on the outcome.

Intrade is also not a polling organization. It does not attempt to forecast what will happen based on anything other than what people are willing to bet money on.

The markets on the presidential election are *puny* compared to the campaigns. Manipulating them would be cheap and easy for either campaign, or for either party, or for any of quite a number of officially-unaffiliated organizations.

To me, the fact that you think the result is worth citing means nothing more than that you aren't paying attention.
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