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AZ I'm not so sure. This last election was closer than I expected, but still solidly Romney (Repugnantcan). Even with a sizable Hispanic vote, and a good number of retirees who don't want their SS and Medicare touched. But our demographics are a bit different. Asians are a small group, but among Asians we have a large Filipino population, and they are both below the radar (i.e. not being picked on) and very conservative. Hispanics are 29%, but I'm not sure how energized they are. (Remember Texas has at least 35%.) But, yeah, I suppose it could happen here. We are supposed to become a "majority-minority" state before the 2016 election.

But I think that's kind of the point. Texas is even more solidly Republican than Arizona - so while that big hispanic democraphic number makes it look like easy pickings, it went even more for Romney than Arizona. The same factors that would give you pause about Arizona turning into a solidly blue state seem to be present in Texas as well.

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