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Based on that analysis the dividend will start to go down rapidly over the next few years if production dips below 90,000 barrels per day as they predict. The tax did just pass in Alaska so that will dampen returns too. Hard to say how much though, but something to keep an eye on. I was considering this trust for investment, but I'm not so sure now. 550,000 barrels to 99,000 over 15 years is a lot. What will it look like in another 10 years.

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