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Do mortgage rates more closely follow the 10 yr or 30 yr bond? I've heard it said both ways, so I was wanting to see if I could get a majority vote :) I'd like to know which to follow to see where mortgage rates "might" me heading. Thanks for help.

Bountyhunter
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I'd like to know which to follow to see where mortgage rates "might" me heading. Thanks for help.

I'm a real estate broker and a recent college business grad, and in all my years, when the FED lowers interest rates, adjustable mortgage rates generally decline. A general rule, when interest rates decline, Bonds YTM goes up. ie. you receive more money...taxable...from your bonds. When the Fed increases the prime lending rate, interest rates, adjustable mortgage rates increase, and bond YTM decline.

If your mortgage rate is fixed, the rate remains the same. If your mortgage rate's an ARM, the rate declines.
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