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Author: aikido10 Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 154  
Subject: Re: FAST posts good results Date: 4/21/2007 11:37 PM
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There is something I must be missing in Rich's evaluation (or that Rich is missing). He is using an 8 year period of high growth of between 12-30% before they reach the saturation level of 3,500 stores in NA & PR, but they currently have 1,996 stores operating in this region. In an 8 year time period a CAGR of 7.275% gets you from 1,996 to 3,500 so I don't see where he is getting his prediction of 12-30% growth if he is excluding global expansion (which he claims that he is).

>>>An 8 year high growth period was selected because that is my estimate of when the company will reach the North American market saturation point with stores (3,500 store count) at about the current build rate. This means that the IV's given do not include any beneficial effects of expansion into other parts of the world.<<<
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