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Author: intercst Big funky green star, 20000 posts Top Favorite Fools Feste Award Nominee! Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 72258  
Subject: Re: Retiree Seeks Foolish Investment Info Date: 11/12/1999 3:16 PM
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Doucy asks,

I've been trying to get beyond the rote allocations and one-size-fits-all advice one gets from the calculators that are commonplace on the Web & investment company retirement info packets. I'm looking for something more insightful. As usual, my first instinct is to scour the Fool for insight & common sense, perhaps a nice essay or two. I'm having a hard time finding such. And, much as I've enjoyed scanning this board, I can't really see myself having the patience to click back through all the postings here, most of which are not on point with my burning question, just to find a couple of pearls.

Anybody know where I can find what I need, preferably without having to leave the comfort of my own computer (though a library visit isn't out of the question)?


You might try the Retire Early Study on Safe Withdrawal Rates, see link:

http://www.geocities.com/WallStreet/8257/restud1.html

The study found the "efficient frontier" for portfolios with 10 to 50 year pay out periods as follows:

Pay Out Period
Years % Stock % Fixed Income

50 82% 18%
40 77% 23%
30 71% 29%
20 66% 34%
10 44% 54%

Portfolios invested at the 'efficient frontier' allow for the highest "100% safe" withdrawal rate.

If your mother is near 80, I suspect a reasonable assumption would be a minimum of a 20 year pay out period.

intercst



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