http://www.townhall.com/Columnists/PatrickJBuchanan/2007/02/16/auto_graveyardOn Valentine's Day, Chrysler sent a bouquet to its North American workers. Eleven thousand manufacturing jobs will be eliminated in the next 24 months -- 9,000 in the states and 2,000 in Canada -- and 2,000 white collar workers will be let go, permanently. How is Japan succeeding?First, the Japanese make fine cars. Second, Japan manipulates its currency to keep it cheap against the dollar, to keep the price of Japanese autos below comparable U.S. models. Third, Tokyo maintains a lock on its home market by imposing a value added tax on auto imports from America, and rebating that tax on autos and parts exported to America. This double-subsidy can give a Japanese car a 15 percent price advantage over a Ford or GM car in both markets.Fourth, Japanese auto companies setting up plants here are free of "legacy costs" of pensions and health insurance for retired U.S. workers. For Japanese companies have almost no retired American workers. Legacy costs at GM, Ford and Chrysler must be factored into the price of every car. Finally, there is the venerable practice of "transfer pricing." Japanese auto parts manufacturers overcharge U.S subsidiaries for parts. This cuts the profits of their U.S subsidiaries and thus reduces their U.S. corporate taxes. Profits are repatriated, virtually untaxed, to Japan.Thus is Japan capturing America's auto market and bringing down the great companies that built the machines of war which brought down Japan's empire. Revenge is a dish best eaten cold. In 2006, the United States ran a deficit in traded goods of $836 billion, a fifth-straight world record. For manufactured goods, the U.S. trade deficit reached $536 billion, worsening from the 2005 record of $504 billion. Under President Bush, 3 million U.S. manufacturing jobs have disappeared -- one in every six. If America continues on this course, where we have run up $4 trillion in trade deficits in manufactured goods since Bill Clinton took office, the end is predictable.An eventual collapse of the dollar, making us a poorer nation. The shuttering of every U.S. factory that makes traded goods. A constant hemorrhaging of manufacturing jobs, now down to 10 percent of our labor force. An end of America's pre-eminence as the world's foremost industrial and technological power. An end to the Second American Century, as the Asian Century begins.Everything some have been warning about for decades -- huge trade deficits, a falling dollar, de-industrialization, a rising dependence on foreigners for the vital necessities of our national life, diminished freedom of action concomitant with that dependency -- has come to pass. The world is witnessing the passing of the United States as the greatest industrial power and the most self-sufficient republic the world had ever seen. Yet, no one acts. Why? Ideology is one reason. Free-trade fanatics are like those devout Christians who will not undergo surgery, even if their malady is killing them. Second, there are the obtuse who simply cannot see that our "trade partners" have found a way around the rules and are skinning us alive.Third, to gain and hold high office, candidates of both parties depend on the contributions of a monied elite, whose salaries, bonuses, stock options and golden parachutes depend on a rising share price, which means constantly cutting costs by moving production out of United States and getting rid of high-wage American workers.There are rewards for economic treason.Look for the Democrats to find a way to give Bush -- despite the astonishing record of trade failures documented above -- fast-track authority to negotiate still more such trade deals. Who takes the king's shilling becomes the king's man. Japan is only one country screwing us. I remember when the college educated used to snicker about the loss of factory jobs. "I guess they should have gotten an eduction" Now IT & engineering & medical test reading jobs are out sourced. I've posted on this board a Business weeek article about Chinese specialists instructing CHinese on the finer points of two sets of books regarding wage compensation. http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/06_48/b4011001.htmWe have sacrificed our manufacturing base with it middle class paying jobs for cheaper cars & other material goods. IMHO it is not a good trade. I beleive our society could develop into a fixed class society. Those stuck working at service jobs with little or no benefits. And those still employed with full employer supplied benefits. Is a cheaper car or TV worth it?
Is a cheaper car or TV worth it?Yes.
Second, Japan manipulates its currency to keep it cheap against the dollar, to keep the price of Japanese autos below comparable U.S. models.I think the weak position of the US Dollar has more to do with the actions of the Republicrats than with Japan. I'd support going back to the Gold Standard.... but then it would make it difficult for the gov't to keep printing money to pay for its excessive spending.FoolNBlue (A victim only of those proposing to "help" victims)
Rather than the question "Is a cheaper car or TV worth it?"Is the US doomed for economic decline due to the fact that it cannot compete globally?YESThe US cannot be competitive against low pay countries that haven't the same environmental laws as our country. Those facts in conjunction with large future liabilities of US entitlements & low savings rate of populus does forecast the decline of US economic power. The pouring of capital into emerging markets & rapid increase in commodity prices seem to bear that out.Emerging market large GDP growth, reduce debt levels & US accelerating negative balance of trade bode ill winds for the future US economic dominance.http://www.businessweek.com/investor/content/may2006/pi20060517_642846.htm The sector's 31% rise in 2005 will be hard to top, but S&P sees ongoing momentum, driven by declining debt levels and government reformsAlthough emerging market equity indexes comprise only 7% of global equity market capitalization, their economies are growing rapidlyBy our analysis, strong emerging market equity performance is driven by several factors, including: robust earnings growth, what we see as relatively low valuations, low global interest rates, and strong international money flows.http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/historical/gandsbal.txtBut wait the intellectual power of the US is constantly generating new technolgy & ideas. But that is the result of our past education system & economic power of our country. We seem to keep reading stories of the dumbing down of material not to embarass slower learner & teacher unions fighting testing to determine students mastery of subject matter. Of course, there will continue to be brillant students attending Cal Tech MIT etc. But as the economic opportunity to these students begin to come from other countries; they will leave the US. The lesson to tj? It now time to consider increasing my percentage of money invested in REITs 7.75%, Oil, Nat'l Gas, & Materials 13.5% Emerging Markets 10.5%
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