Message Font: Serif | Sans-Serif
No. of Recommendations: 3
FoolBalance: He knows he has no chance of being elected in the current GOP... but, there is a non-zero chance that the GOP will schism, particularly if 2014 goes poorly for them. The Tea Party is pissed about being 'put in their room' and may not suffer the indignity and split off. It would not be a trivial split off, possibly being as much as 20% of the electorate, about 50% of the Republican party. But, the Democratic Party wouldn't come out inscathed. The New GOP would be able to justifiably advertise itself as 'Free of Tea'. so, that 20% of the electorate would gain about about 10 to 15% from the Democrats to become a substantial second party. It would make the Democratic party actually a Liberal party (though not quite as far to the left as the Tea Party would be to the right).

That New GOP would be a genuine centrist party where Huntsman would fit quite nicely, possibly be a luminary.

It all depends on if the Tea Party can get control of enough state level offices in the schism to ensure such easy ballot access as the Democrats and Republicans have enjoyed for generations. If so, we are possibly seeing the emergence of a period of three party rule.

That is the sharpest piece of political analysis I have seen since the election. I think FoolBalance has hit the nail on the head -- this is exactly what Huntsman is up to. It might even happen as he hopes. Politics could be about to become interesting.

Print the post  


What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
When Life Gives You Lemons
We all have had hardships and made poor decisions. The important thing is how we respond and grow. Read the story of a Fool who started from nothing, and looks to gain everything.
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and Glassdoor #1 Company to Work For 2015! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.