Message Font: Serif | Sans-Serif
 
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (24) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next
Author: mildert Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 201886  
Subject: Re: Berkshire's P/B Date: 1/24/2013 12:30 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll Report this Post | Recommend it!
Recommendations: 0
> I'm pretty well known to be at the fairly far bearish end of the

> spectrum in terms of estimating fair value for the broad US market.

Hi Jim. Yes, indeed and I've read your comments with interest before. One thing I wonder about is the impact low interest rates have on your valuations. I recall Jeremy Siegel saying that the long term avergae PE for US stocks is about 15 but in low interest rate environments, it's higher, at about 19 (fairly sure I remembered these numbers correctly though I don't have the source at hand).

I think Buffett takes the view that interest rate levels affect valuation of securities too, though he hasn't given numbers like Prof. Siegel.
I get the impression that some wouldn't agree: what's your take on that?
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll Report this Post | Recommend it!
Print the post  
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (24) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next

Announcements

Invest Better Hub
Take advantage of our newest free service, Invest Better!
New Fool-Branded Credit Card Available!
How does your card compare to ours?
Post of the Day:
Supernova Phoenix 1

When Does the Party End?
What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
Facebook Fool Fan Club
Be a fan of the Fool over on Facebook!
Community Home
Speak Your Mind, Start Your Blog, Rate Your Stocks

Community Team Fools - who are those TMF's?
Get the Fool Phone App
Save and share content, zero in on sectors, podcasts, and much more!
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and "#1 Media Company to Work For" (BusinessInsider 2011)! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.
Advertisement