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Author: whatismyoption Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 20303  
Subject: Re: BHP Date: 2/10/2009 9:02 PM
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Here are some quick notes from a second listen:
Don Coxe conference call
commodities story is graudually changing and starting to improve
places strenght in IBD equity groups, believes it is a better forecaster than economic metrics
relative rank over last 6 months
metal ores, gold and silver number one group
top twenty has seen a big change, five are commodity related, though his list seemed to include top thirty.
Sees parallels to '74-75
TED spread is way down, VIX is down
either stockmarket is wrong or there is already a change.
Base metals have been stronger due to “ sovereign-fund” buying by Korea and China

believe commodity stocks will outperform from here
strongest group going in, lead downturn and therefore want to see if whole story has changed or whether as in '74-'75 this is a pause in bigger trend.

Ag stocks showing strength


This time around I gave up listening at that point

It was mainly technical mumbo-jumbo; commodity stock prices are firming so everything is looking rosy.

I changed my view as I think it is now late in the recession and just like I missed shorting BHP in the $40s I missed going long in the low $20s. I don't have any strong conviction now, except that there appears to be much better risk/reward opportunities out there than BHP.

While I continue to dislike BHP I don't have the conviction to fight the tape.

Was this my most idiotic post yet? I think so.
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