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Author: LakeEffect Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 71  
Subject: Re: Where are you? Date: 3/12/2003 10:34 PM
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Hey, what about me? After all, I petitioned the Fool to open this folder in the first place :) ... Seriously, it's nice to see some interest in LCI. I like this company, although it's very young and therefore speculative. Here are some spreadsheets I worked up on LCI about 6 weeks ago (pre-split). You'll find them in the "investments" folder. They're rough, I had intended to clean them up before I offered them up for public consumption, but what the heck...

Before the split, I came up with a rough evaluation of LCI, which I posted (and lost) somewhere in the dreck on the Yahoo board, but here's the gist of it ...

Start with LCI's current earnings of 0.66, assume a growth rate of 25% for the next 5 years, a discount rate of 12%, and accept a target P/E of 20.

I calculate future earnings at just over $2, and a target share price of around $40.28. Discounted back to today, that works out to about $22.85 a share. That's about 15.23 now, after the split. So we're still a little undervalued? I feel I'm pretty conservative with my numbers, any thoughts???

earnings = 0.66 * (1 + .25)^5
shareprice = 40.28 / (1 + .12)^5
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