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Author: Dwdonhoff Big gold star, 5000 posts Top Favorite Fools Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 127777  
Subject: Re: mortgage rates moving Date: 8/30/2001 8:49 PM
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Hi moussecatcher,

I have been watching mortgage rates for a good time to refi a 7.75% 30 yr. Despite all the Feds rate cuts, home mortgage rates haven't followed.

Actually, fixed rates have indeed been settling downward gradually the whole time. ARMs have dropped incredibly also.

What are the home mortgage rates based on.

30, 20, and 15 year Fixed Programs are based on the 30-year U.S. Bonds. The bond market is a free-moving, openly traded, liquid market... so the fixed rates go along with the random whim of the public's pressure on the bond-trading companies (influenced by YOUR pension funds, mutual funds, and retirement management companies.)

ARMs are primarily indexed on either the 1 year Treasury Bills, the 11th District Cost-Of-Funds-Index (COFI), or the LIBOR index. These fluctuate according to varying influences... much more according to the Fed's adjustments than the long Bonds.

Should we expect them to come down any time soon? (sound: polishing crystal ball)

Who knows!?!

I can say this;
We are now clearly at the lowest rates in over 30 years. What happens tomorrow is a 50-50 POSSIBILITY... but weighting the likelihood of price action reflecting historical data makes an interest RISE soon a much higher PROBABILITY!

You'd have a hard time going wrong locking in your financing now.

BTW... for those seriously considering the Mortgage Freedom Account strategies, the conforming 5/1 ARM for the perfect scenario is BELOW 6%! THAT'S AWESOME!!!

The savings you could stash away, and the compounding returns on those funds over the next 5 years could do some major wealth building.

(Found my September issue of Money Magazine);
"Historically, investments made in midrecession have returned 34 percent over the next 18 months"

There's blood in the streets in the markets, the common man is terrified of investments, AND mortgage capital hasn't been cheaper in most of our adult lifetimes...

(Not to mention the indexes are at or just above long-term technical support areas...)

COULD BE TIME TO STRIKE HARD!

Cheers,
Dave Donhoff
Foolish Mortgage Broker & Financial Freedom Zealot!
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