UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (16) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next
Author: anthonyms Three stars, 500 posts Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 68624  
Subject: Re: End of Year look at 3D printing stocks Date: 1/1/2014 1:43 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll . Report this Post | Recommend it!
Recommendations: 3
Hi Tamhas - happy new year to you.

That's an interesting review with some impressive numbers. I would caution you against describing your growth in terms of CAGR when you have held for a matter of months. What I think you are trying to do is to calculate an annualised rate of return - which is ok but CAGR is usually reserved for the description of multi year compound growth calculations.

It sounds like we have a similar basket in the world of 3DP.

I currently hold:

1) ARCAM - showing a 159% gain from an entry price of $56.274 in July and makes up 15% of my 3DP portfolio

2) 3D Systems - is showing a gain of 160% from an average entry price of $35.671, which seems unusually similar but from 2 purchases one at $29 in post split value (but purchased pre-split) and another tranche bought at at $60 in August. This is my most overweight position making up 28% of my current 3DP portfolio valuation

3) Groupe Gorge - which is the most recent purchase at $22.55 giving a gain of 27% and representing 14.5% of my portfolio

4) Invivo - bought in September at $1.64 has reached a 40% gain and represents 12% of my portfolio

5) Stratasys - one of my first purchases (and most recent top ups) at an average of $81 (bought at $84, $66 and $98) as given me a gain of 66% and represents 18% of the 3DP portfolio

6) ExOne - which I bought at $39 originally with a top up at $63 in October giving an average purchase price of $44 and one of the lightest gains of 37% and represents 9% of my 3DP portfolio

7) Organovo - is the investment I am least convinced by (commercially and valuation wise) and I intend take profits and exit from in the near future. I bought recently at $7.50 and has risen 48%, it is my lowest weighting at only 3.5%

I had held Align for a short period, purchased at $44 and sold at a 15% profit as I needed the funds. I like the business and it is promising but does have a limit to its market potential. I also owned Sigma as a speculative play and sold out way to early for a 20% profit - this one I am happy staying out of for now as it is pure vapourware.

I am not in Voxeljet and am happy with not being in at this price which is no more attractive than Exone, ARCAM or SSYS/DDD. I would love to be in EOS if it were to list and I am considering Camtek if I can figure it out. I also follow Cimatron and Dassault Systems but I just don't find the lack of pure play exposure interesting.

Other New Paradigm big bets I have made this year outside 3DP include:

Solarcity purchased at an average of $33.7 has risen by 68%
Audiocodes purchased at $6.69 and risen by 6%
Mazor Robotics purchased at $16 and showing a 22% gain
Clean Energy Fuels purchased at $12.27 with a 5% gain
Marathon Patents purchased at $5.7 gives a 10% gain
Noah purchase at 18.25 has given me a 10% loss

Other big bets I continue to hold from previous years of possible interest to NPI and Fools are:
Whole Foods
International Rectifier
Check Point

Most of these are up this year - especially Check Point, Whole Foods and AIG.

Positions I exited this year at a decent profit (20%+) were high yield stocks like GDF Suez and Medical Properties which I do want to participate in but will await the impact of tapering before making any moves.

Happy new year and good luck to all in 2014.

Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll . Report this Post | Recommend it!
Print the post  
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (16) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next


2013 Feste Award Voting Begins!
Who will win the 2013 Feste Award? Vote now for the Fool that most exemplifies the Fool Community mission of Learning Together!
When Life Gives You Lemons
We all have had hardships and made poor decisions. The important thing is how we respond and grow. Read the story of a Fool who started from nothing, and looks to gain everything.
Post of the Day:
Tax Strategies

TMFPMarti-Feeling Good
What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
Community Home
Speak Your Mind, Start Your Blog, Rate Your Stocks

Community Team Fools - who are those TMF's?
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and "#1 Media Company to Work For" (BusinessInsider 2011)! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.