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Author: captainccs Big gold star, 5000 posts Top Favorite Fools Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 1474  
Subject: Re: Sell BWLD? Date: 9/26/2008 6:10 PM
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How do you determine which duration contracts to sell?

Jim2B


The idea is to maximize yield but it is a tug of war between yield and the amount of cash you get out of it. I'm looking for the strike price and expiration date that gives the best of both worlds. Some people might say that what counts is the total number of dollars made but you can't exclude the value of time, $100 in 3 months is a lot more than $120 in one year.

I do the calculations assuming I'm buying 100 shares and selling 1 contract. Using BWLD at the close today (40.50) I get the following numbers:

Option BQULI Dec 08 BQULJ Dec 08 BQUCI Mar 09 BQUCH Mar 09
Strike 45.00 50.00 45.00 50.00
Cost 3.65 2.10 6.00 4.20
Cash 365.00 210.00 600.00 420.00
% of stock price 9.0% 5.2% 14.8% 10.4%
Gain 22.1% 30.2% 30.4% 37.7%
Yield 137.5% 213.6% 73.9% 94.8%

You get the most cash from Mar 45 ($600) and the highest yield from Dec 50. I try to get at least 10% of the stock price so that eliminates Dec 50. Since a yield of 74% is pretty darn good, I would sell Mar 45.

Since I'm usually on margin, I like the higher dollar amount since it cuts my interest charge.

You don't have to let the option expire. If it drops 50% in price I'm likely to buy it back.

Denny Schlesinger
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