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I am inclined to agree with ToddTruby on this one and to just go with the mileage. The bounce test can tell you when your shocks are very bad, not when they have weakened enough to impact safety. There is a point before your shocks will fail a bounce test where your stopping and cornering ability are reduced to a point where they could make a difference in an emergency stop or maneuver.
A 200lb mechanic leaning on your bumper is not making the same demand on your shocks as screeching to a stop around dead mans curve, while your shocks are trying to keep your tires stuck to the ground for traction over every pothole and uneven contour in the road.
Also if you are an aggressive driver then you demand a higher performance out of your shocks and should replace them before a more sedate driver might.

Hope that helps,
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