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I do have a ten year or more horizon. If I did not, I would be almost completely in bonds and TIPs.

Check out the stock market indices over the past year. See the sharp bottom in March? The stock market is typically six to nine months in advance of the overall economy. No surprise that layoffs are continuing - they always do. It will become a non-story AFTER the fact. To come up with investment theses you need to be trying to anticipate what will happen. The doom and gloom scenario is great, but I think it is overplayed.
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