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Author: brewer12345 Big gold star, 5000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 35435  
Subject: Re: Home Sales Date: 8/23/2006 3:53 PM
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I don't think this latest housing information is just a data point: I think it is one of many data points toward a slowing, if not recessionary, economy. I'm not suggesting rushing into long bonds (20-30 years), but I think those who are sticking to T-bills or the equivalent, waiting for 5-10 year rates to go up will probably regret it. I still think, in a few years, the debt level will come home to roost. I'm not changing my mind about using some 1,2,3 year CDs to fix my ladder, now instead of later.

I think the Fed is going to be in a bind. I agree what is causing inflation is not what goes into core inflation and we are likely to have inflation and economic stagnation at the same time, though I don't think like the '70s.

Personally, I don't think that it is worth the risk. Floaters and TIPS are about all I find attractive, assuming we are at serious risk for stagflation.
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