No. of Recommendations: 1
I don't usually comment on this kind of thing but I've been going back an forth with exactly your question myself and I have my own ideas.

I am not the Market Maven joelxwill is but I do tend in his direction with regards to general market behavior.

This is an educated hunch.

We are due for a retrenchment. Things have been up for a long time and looking a little "Toppy". Not sure how big any retrenchment would be but I do believe we have seen the generational low in this market cycle. That would have been 2008/early 2009. Anybody really think we'll flounce 60% again? I just don't see it. If you see that what are your reasons? Besides just repeating "bubble...bubble...bubble..."

Looking at the last 2 generational bears, 1929-1942, the low point was 1933. 1966-1982, the low was 1974. But things in general sucked for a longer period time. I don't have all the charts going back to 1870 but my guess is things followed a similar pattern in the old boom and bust days.

Anybody who wants to bust my tussy and pish-posh about timing, charts, "cycles" and such feel free. I might answer or I might not. I'm just calling it like I see it.
Print the post  

Announcements

The Retirement Investing Board
This is the board for all discussions related to Investing for and during retirement. To keep the board relevant and Foolish to everyone, please avoid making any posts pertaining to political partisanship. Fool on and Retire on!
What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
When Life Gives You Lemons
We all have had hardships and made poor decisions. The important thing is how we respond and grow. Read the story of a Fool who started from nothing, and looks to gain everything.
Community Home
Speak Your Mind, Start Your Blog, Rate Your Stocks

Community Team Fools - who are those TMF's?
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and Glassdoor #1 Company to Work For 2015! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.
Advertisement