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Author: PebbledShore Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool CAPS All Star Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 41315  
Subject: Re: HNR -- The fish Pabrai didn't throw at VIC Date: 5/29/2007 9:03 PM
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I have no opinion on the probability of HNR's contract getting approved.

Neither do I, nor do I think calculating such a probability in this case to be particularly useful, but I would think one could calculate a reasonable probability for HNR's approval by figuring how many foreign (or specifically US) oil companies have been taken this far down the aisle and then dumped at the altar. I don't know what the answer is to this question, but I suspect it may be zero or if not zero a small percentage of the total oil companies "betrothed" to Venezuela.
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