I have no opinion on the probability of HNR's contract getting approved.Neither do I, nor do I think calculating such a probability in this case to be particularly useful, but I would think one could calculate a reasonable probability for HNR's approval by figuring how many foreign (or specifically US) oil companies have been taken this far down the aisle and then dumped at the altar. I don't know what the answer is to this question, but I suspect it may be zero or if not zero a small percentage of the total oil companies "betrothed" to Venezuela.
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