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I honestly think that the HAS stock price was a victim of bad timing. Hear me out:
Phantom Menace comes out in spring. Everyone is expecting huge sales numbers. Stock goes up. Then new Star Wars toys arrive - and keep arriving - and keep arriving. There are so many SW toys you have to beat them off with a stick. Fastforward three months - middle of summer. Earnings have come out and huge numbers. No one was surprised. Ahead to fall. Again huge earnings numbers. Again, expected. Now X-mas. The fervor of SW has long since died but the earnings are still there. Stock dripping down. What do you think would have happened if SW was closer to X-mas, say August? We wouldn't be having this conversation. HAS would be selling SW toys on top of X-mas toys, thus investors happy.

Of course, this is opinion only and crudely simplifying past events, but it is interesting when you think about it. I realize that HAS has many other products/interests/lines than SW, but that was the big news last year, thus it had the most profound effect.

Any thoughts are welcome.

ewhite06
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