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Author: ptheland Big gold star, 5000 posts Feste Award Nominee! Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 75383  
Subject: Re: Moving from S&P to Stable Value Fund Date: 7/12/2013 12:23 PM
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I'll be blunt. You are being emotional and irrational.

On the other hand, any successful retirement plan must take into account the fact that virtually all people are emotional and irrational. We are each emotional and irrational in our own way.

So you need to find a plan that meets two needs. It needs to let you sleep at night, and it needs to have a good chance of success.

I like the suggestions for you to look at the Mechanical Investing board. They have several ways of looking at stocks and the market that attempt to remove as much emotion from the process as they can. It's also important to understand your own temperament - what things bother you and what things don't.

As to timing, you are correct that you can't avoid every little downdraft in the market. However, there is decent evidence that you can use some strategies to avoid the largest part of big market drops. The Mechanical Investing board would be the place to check those out. One I particularly like is the mungofitch 99 day rule. But there are other "bear catchers" they also look at.

--Peter
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