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Author: Zeelotes Big red star, 1000 posts Top Favorite Fools Feste Award Nominee! Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 250287  
Subject: Re: Timing and BRK.A Date: 12/30/2012 3:20 PM
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I'm not Jim, but here is a comparison of holding BRKa without any trading (LTBH) from 10/14/1976 to the present, and using Nasdaq NH-NL to move to cash during risky periods, and using my own rendition of the Sell in May concept. A key thing to look at is the % of Time invested.

The Nasdaq NH-NL has way too many trades for my liking, but the Sell in May has a maximum of two trades per year.

   System         ROI      CAGR    GSD   Sharpe  Ulcer Index  DDD3   BBW   % Win  % of Time  Yrs >= Index  Yrs >= 0  Drawdown
LTBH 196469.34% 23.31% 28.36 0.72 14.28% 7.67% 3.21 100% 100.00% 81.08% 83.78% -51.47%
Nasdaq NH-NL 204720.10% 23.45% 18.19 1.00 11.69% 5.59% 4.49 64% 63.95% 78.38% 91.89% -51.97%
Sell in May 296236.84% 24.71% 22.85 0.89 8.53% 4.28% 5.89 88% 70.55% 72.97% 86.49% -37.33%
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