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Intuition based on no data is guessing, nothing better. It turned out the way you wanted once. And, that didn't make the data wrong because they tracked the change, just like they are tracking the change this time.

Saying "this position is not supported at the current time by existing data" doesn't preclude the possibility for the data to change. The change in polls post-debate is not because the polls suddenly got more right, but because attitudes changed.
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