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Author: PeterRabit Big funky green star, 20000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 22562  
Subject: Israel: Outcomes and Probabilities Date: 11/17/2012 6:36 PM
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Which outcome in Israel is more likely? Say in the next 40 years.

1) Israel dismantles all of the non-contiguous settlements in the West Bank as part of a two-state solution.

2) A one-state solution which incorporates the West Bank and Gaza into Israel and offers eventual citizenship to the residents.

Not that anyone has a crystal ball, of course. I'm just asking for gut feelings.

An alternative to 1) and 2) would be a continuation of the current status quo for the next 40 years. This may be the most likely outcome.

Peter
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Author: stevenjklein Big funky green star, 20000 posts Feste Award Nominee! Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: 22162 of 22562
Subject: Re: Israel: Outcomes and Probabilities Date: 11/19/2012 11:01 AM
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The peace plan that Arafat rejected would have involved trading some Israeli land to the Arabs in return for Israeli keeping some of the settlements.

If peace happens, I think that's the most likely outcome.

But I don't expect that to happen. I think a continuation of the status quo is more likely, because I don't think the Arabs will ever accept Israel.

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Author: PeterRabit Big funky green star, 20000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: 22166 of 22562
Subject: Re: Israel: Outcomes and Probabilities Date: 11/19/2012 1:57 PM
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Thank you for your response.

Peter

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