No. of Recommendations: 1
It's not the best, but it's good enough. But I just don't think it really matters. The only thing that can really hurt the Packers is an injury to Aaron Rogers. That offense averages 35 points a game. And while the defense isn't great, it's not going to give up the money points. Green Bay opponents average 21 points a game.
That's a point differential that pretty hard for any team to overcome.
Differential is relative. If you compare the differential to the points scored, both teams are winning with a comparable differential.
GB: 34.3 PF/G - 21.2 PA/G = 13.1 margin/G (38% of PF/G)
SF: 23.6 PF/G - 14.0 PA/G = 9.6 margin/G (40% of PF/G)
In other words... a 7-point deficit in a low-scoring game is much "harder to overcome" than a 7-point deficit in a high-scoring game. Margin of victory numbers are relative, not absolute.
--Rod