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Author: ilmostro Big red star, 1000 posts Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 252525  
Subject: Re: OT why following rules beats individual inve Date: 2/24/2014 6:06 PM
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Let's deconstruct this blend and look at the min and max cagr for this time period.

1st screen:
CAGR:	25.435574	22.235392	28.599308	
2nd screen:
CAGR:	14.673207	10.040543	19.060226	
3rd screen:
CAGR:	20.219578	16.532145	22.643250	
4th screen:
CAGR:	16.272448	6.038223	24.888348
5th screen:
CAGR:	25.402977	21.481272	28.583031

some pretty big differences in there, especially the 4th screen with over 2.5 times the difference in min and max.

Maybe you will get lucky and hit the correct week. Maybe not.
I think throwing all these screens together and picking just one trading cycle and expecting to obtain the average is wishful thinking.

Bryan
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