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Recommendations: 1
MLP Midstream 12-18-09 NOTE: The last day of trading for TPP was 10-26-09. HLND and OSP stopped trading in December, and USS in November. The dist/DCF ratio now uses 2010 DCF consensus estimates.
12-31-8 12-18 Q4 Dist/dcf Year-to-Date Change Company Price Price Yield Ratio Price Pr+Dist EPS Est DCF est Large Capped MLPs BPL 32.25 52.79 7.01 87.68 63.69 75.16 9.03 8.82 EEP 25.50 51.02 7.76 89.80 100.08 115.61 -2.49 3.90 EPD 20.73 30.50 7.25 79.50 47.13 57.79 -21.29 -5.82 ETP 34.01 43.61 8.20 89.82 28.23 38.74 -43.60 -22.65 KMP 45.75 59.03 7.12 93.75 29.03 38.21 -40.59 -5.45 MMP 30.21 41.43 6.85 91.03 37.14 46.54 -34.08 -5.54 NS 41.06 53.34 7.99 83.37 29.91 40.28 -21.75 -4.47 OKS 45.55 60.43 7.21 90.27 32.67 42.24 -26.76 -9.80 PAA 34.69 51.08 7.20 91.32 47.25 57.86 3.38 -3.81 SXL 45.14 63.85 6.67 76.07 41.45 50.89 45.49 22.77 TCLP 23.25 36.01 8.11 73.92 54.88 67.44 -5.06 5.41 TPP* 19.57 37.16 7.80 90.62 89.88 104.70 -4.59 -1.88 ----------------- 7.43 50.11 61.29
12-31-8 12-18 Q4 Dist/dcf Year-to-Date Change Company Price Price Yield Ratio Price Pr+Dist EPS Est DCF est Small Capped Midstream MLPs BWP 17.78 29.49 6.71 85.34 65.86 77.00 -55.80 -26.09 DEP 13.60 22.49 7.83 81.86 65.37 78.31 13.04 19.44 EPB 15.60 25.30 5.53 79.55 62.18 71.15 7.25 21.43 GEL 8.69 17.00 8.29 70.50 95.63 111.85 -43.48 -17.39 HEP 21.35 39.46 8.06 86.18 84.82 99.72 14.04 -2.25 SEP 19.78 28.73 5.57 71.43 45.25 53.34 21.23 14.75 TLP 13.30 26.10 9.04 71.95 96.24 113.98 4.08 5.81 WES 12.83 18.63 6.87 72.32 45.21 55.18 -14.18 -4.24 WMZ 14.17 22.40 5.98 88.74 58.08 67.54 1.36 -9.62 ---------------- 7.10 68.74 80.90
12-31-8 12-18 Q4 Dist/dcf Year-to-Date Change Company Price Price Yield Ratio Price Pr+Dist EPS Est DCF est G&P MLPs APL 6.00 8.89 0.00 0.00 48.17 48.17 -98.04 -74.05 CPNO 11.67 22.35 10.29 87.79 91.52 111.23 -71.64 0.42 DPM 9.40 27.54 8.71 80.00 192.98 218.51 17.42 5.20 EROC 4.71 4.50 2.22 10.99 -4.46 -2.34 -93.90 -10.00 EXLP 11.23 20.50 9.02 77.08 82.55 99.02 -53.42 -11.38 HLND* 5.13 9.99 0.00 0.00 94.74 94.74 -52.38 -54.55 KGS 9.48 20.85 7.48 81.25 119.94 136.39 -6.25 -8.44 MWE 7.98 27.60 9.28 95.17 245.86 277.94 -89.25 -9.06 NGLS 7.75 22.71 9.11 80.54 193.03 219.74 -55.48 -14.29 RGNC 8.05 20.09 8.86 83.96 149.57 171.68 -72.92 -18.46 WPZ 11.94 30.03 8.46 94.07 151.51 172.78 -1.11 6.43 XTEX 4.37 7.11 0.00 0.00 62.70 62.70 0.00 -44.58 ---------------- 6.12 119.01 134.21
12-31-8 12-18 Q4 Dist/dcf Year-to-Date Change Company Price Price Yield Ratio Price Pr+Dist EPS Est DCF est Marines Transport MLPs KSP 12.90 10.51 17.13 100.00 -18.53 -4.57 -88.52 -14.03 MMLP 14.70 29.00 10.34 80.65 97.28 117.69 -28.34 -10.81 TGP 15.02 24.83 9.18 76.00 65.31 80.49 1.78 -2.00 USS* 0.12 0.04 0.00 0.00 -66.67 -66.67 0.00 -92.25 NMM 7.14 14.95 10.84 162.00 109.38 132.07 -6.25 -29.41 OSP* 4.92 10.24 0.00 0.00 108.13 108.13 -78.13 -10.00 ---------------- 7.91 49.15 61.19 MLP Totals ----- 7.21 77.45 90.56
The Alerian MLP index [the ^AMZ - which includes other MLP sectors] is up [price only] 55.77% year to date. With the 10yr Treasury @ 3.546% & the sector average yield [on Q4 Distrib's] at 7.36% - the spread is 382 bps. With the HYG yielding 9.63% - the spread to the iBOXX High Yield Index is -227 bps. USS was dropped from inclusion in the averages because it distorted the average yields and the spreads. * HLND, OSP, TPP and USS are no longer traded, but 2009 gains are included in this data.
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