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Author: n8larson Big gold star, 5000 posts Old School Fool Ticker Guide Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 95729  
Subject: Re: Seattle's First Round Bye Date: 12/12/2012 10:42 PM
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No one step requires suspension of reality. But the possibility of all of those steps happening is remote.

Ah, but that wasn't the only combination of outcomes (steps) that's required, just the most plausible one. For example, Green Bay could lose in Chicago instead of in Minneapolis. Or they could lose both. The Giants could beat both Atlanta and Baltimore, but lose to Philly. And so on (Seattle could even be the #2 at 10-6, mathematically).

If Seattle wins out to finish 11-5*, then it's a second Niners loss that gives them the Division (#4 seed), a Giants OR Packers loss that gives them the 3, and both that gives them the 2. It's really no more complicated than that. Talk of who the opponents are just adds color and a sense of what the likelihood is.

If I were really smokin', I would have told you how easy it would be for Seattle to secure the #1 seed. I'm not, so it's not. Easy, I mean. But it is simple. Just add "Falcons lose their last 3" (<NYG, @DET, <TB) to the "no more complicated than that" bit above.

-n8
(* Not a forgone conclusion, just an assumption for this exercise. Yeah, that's the ticket.)
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