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Note that since 2000 - your real net worth has gone up essentially ZERO! Despite the numeric value of the index more than doubling for non-dividend adjusted.....

I like this site:

Jan 2000 - Jan 2017
Total S&P 500 Return (Dividends Reinvested) inflation adjusted: 52.651% or 2.519% annualized.

Not zero, not very good either, but that's what can happen starting from a crazy valuation.

What about going forward? I've tried a few times to calm down the expectations of the millennials I know online. Many seem fixated on long term returns from the past. They can't seem to accept that those days could be gone. Dividends + growth rate +/- change in valuation seems simple enough, but for them it just doesn't compute, not when the reasonable answer is <4%.
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