No. of Recommendations: 1
One poll or survey is relatively meaningless. There are several electoral maps being published these days that use various sources (including an aggregation of the polls, I believe). Here is intrade's.

As I said, intrade is non-partisan. They just let you bet (in essence) on the outcome.

I've seen a few maps, and they all look like this one. The electoral college distorts elections somewhat, so it's really better to look at how the electoral votes appear to be lining up instead of focusing on a few polls of individual voters.

Certainly something weird could happen to change things. But the odds are pretty long at this point. Which is also reflected in the intrade market (i.e. the cost of placing a bet):
Print the post  


What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
When Life Gives You Lemons
We all have had hardships and made poor decisions. The important thing is how we respond and grow. Read the story of a Fool who started from nothing, and looks to gain everything.
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and Glassdoor #1 Company to Work For 2015! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.