UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (13) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next
Author: theGreenMartian Big gold star, 5000 posts Top Favorite Fools Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 41614  
Subject: Re: BMW analysys of my portfolio Date: 12/15/2006 2:32 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll . Report this Post | Recommend it!
Recommendations: 1
PFE- Purchased earlier this year with a cost basis of 24.50. Currently represents about 14.25% of my portfolio. Like Bud, is currently near its low CAGR which looks to be around 12.25%. Ignoring the giant bubble, the avg CAGR appears to be around 14% which would put it around $36. I was all set to buy more shares last week after the announcement, but unfortunately the stock didn't drop nearly as much as I was hoping it would. However if it does happen to drop below 23, I will look at purchasing some more shares.

I'm not an expert on BMW and wasn't exactly welcomed to this board last time I visited but I will make one small comment here that you might wish to completely ignore - namely, what is the STORY behind your stock picks? You own PFE then, based on some mathematical calculations. Maybe it works out just fine for you, as the idea of using the BMW method appeals greatly for many reasons. Still, what is going on with PFE particular? Pharma company making its money with drugs, right? Have you taken each one of PFE's drugs, sales for each drug, and lined up the patent expiration dates to get an idea what might happen in the future? Have you done something similar with CHS's store counts to find out what each concept is contributing, where each concept is in its growth cycle, where margins are, where sales might go? What do you think about HD's move into non-store activities? How are you going to evaluate those? Maybe these are all things that you've discussed elsewhere but are you sure it makes sense to use historical CAGR data without also confirming that the company in question has a bright future too?

anyway = just 2c

Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll . Report this Post | Recommend it!
Print the post  
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (13) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next

Announcements

BMW METHOD EVENTS

The 2009 BMW Method Conference has been cancelled, due to minimum attendance numbers not being met. We hope to continue the annual BMW Method Conference tradition next fall.

Learn about the first four conferences on the BMW Method Website.

The BMW Method FAQ

BMW Method Website
Annual Conference Videos and Other Resources & Services
What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
When Life Gives You Lemons
We all have had hardships and made poor decisions. The important thing is how we respond and grow. Read the story of a Fool who started from nothing, and looks to gain everything.
Community Home
Speak Your Mind, Start Your Blog, Rate Your Stocks

Community Team Fools - who are those TMF's?
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and "#1 Media Company to Work For" (BusinessInsider 2011)! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.
Advertisement